Al Rayyan 4-0 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.64
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.46
Over 2.5
70%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.35
No
35%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
8.57
2-3 Goals
35%
2.38
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
41%
2.37
6+ Goals
12%
3.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.37 — our 41% vs market 36.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
15%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
56%
-16.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+11.3pp
30%
Under 2.5
25%
+4.5pp
70%
Over 2.5
75%
-4.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
70%
-5.1pp
35%
BTTS No
30%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
1.71/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.86/0.92
-16% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / +79%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
373 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Rayyan
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Al Sadd
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.90 xG 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
247 Passes 441
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
12 Box Touches 45
6 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
28.04.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
11.01.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
08.03.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
22.09.2021 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-4 HT 1-3 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
06.04.2021 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Rayyan
4-0
AWAY Al Sadd
46% Ball Possession 54%
24 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan cruised past Al Sadd 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 35% — and on the day Al Rayyan made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (70%) landed while both teams to score (65%) missed.

On the day, Al Rayyan had 46% of the ball to Al Sadd's 54%, shots finished 24-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Rayyan and 2.50 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Al Sadd?

Al Rayyan 4-0 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 40%, draw 24%, Al Sadd 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Rayyan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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