Al Ahli 1-0 Al Wakrah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
50%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.74
Over 2.5
64%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.41
2-3 Goals
33%
2.12
4-5 Goals
33%
2.52
6+ Goals
15%
5.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
15%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
35%
-7.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
50%
Away Win
42%
+8.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
33%
+3.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
67%
-3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.0pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.41/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/1.34
+1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
14.8 Crosses 30.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Wakrah
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.37 xG 3.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
196 Passes 353
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
18.11.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 4-2 HT 1-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KATYK
18.03.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 5-2 HT 3-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
14.10.2022 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KATYK
07.09.2022 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
17.01.2022 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli
1-0
AWAY Al Wakrah
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Al Wakrah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli squeezed past Al Wakrah 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wakrah at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahli had 41% of the ball to Al Wakrah's 59%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wakrah led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Ahli and 2.83 for Al Wakrah.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Wakrah?

Al Ahli 1-0 Al Wakrah in the Qatar League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Wakrah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Wakrah win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 27%, draw 23%, Al Wakrah 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Wakrah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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