Al Shamal vs Al Gharafa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Shamal v Al Gharafa — Team-Based Signals
Al Shamal vs Al Gharafa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Al Shamal
KAT
1-2
HT 1-1
Al Shamal
KATYK
3-2
HT 1-2
Al Shamal
KAT
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Gharafa
KATYK
2-1
HT 0-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
2-3
HT 1-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
Al Shamal 1-0 Al Gharafa — Actual Match Statistics
Al Shamal nicked a narrow win over Al Gharafa 1-0.
This one beat our numbers. Al Gharafa carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Shamal had 37% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 63%, shots finished 13-19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Shamal and 1.50 for Al Gharafa.
What was the final score of Al Shamal vs Al Gharafa?
Al Shamal 1-0 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Shamal vs Al Gharafa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 27%, draw 17%, Al Gharafa 56%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.