Al Arabi 4-3 Al Muaidar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.71
2-3 Goals
39%
2.15
4-5 Goals
31%
2.49
6+ Goals
13%
5.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.1pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Muaidar EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.96/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.41
-15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -57%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
28.0 Crosses 12.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Muaidar
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.14 xG 1.69
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
529 Passes 167
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2023 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
09.09.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar KATYK
21.12.2013 Al Arabi Al Arabi 4-2 HT 1-2 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar KATYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Arabi
4-3
AWAY Al Muaidar
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Muaidar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi squeezed past Al Muaidar 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Arabi as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Al Arabi had 50% of the ball to Al Muaidar's 50%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Arabi had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Arabi and 1.67 for Al Muaidar.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Muaidar?

Al Arabi 4-3 Al Muaidar in the Qatar League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Muaidar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 48%, draw 24%, Al Muaidar 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAT More Qatar League
28 Apr 2024
18:30 Al Ahli vs Al Wakrah Analysis →
18:30 Al Shamal vs Al Gharafa Analysis →
18:30 Al Rayyan vs Al Sadd Analysis →