Riga Mariners 1-0 Skanste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

Riga Mariners
1-0
Skanste
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2025

Riga Mariners vs Skanste Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Riga Mariners v Skanste — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Skanste EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
212 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Riga Mariners vs Skanste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga Mariners nicked a narrow win over Skanste 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga Mariners as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Riga Mariners vs Skanste?

Riga Mariners 1-0 Skanste in the Latvia - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga Mariners vs Skanste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Riga Mariners 49%, draw 27%, Skanste 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga Mariners) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga Mariners) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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