Ogre United 8-1 Progress / AFA Olaine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.7pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.6pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogre United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -36%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ogre United
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.10.2024 Ogre United 1-1 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
16.06.2024 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 3-3 HT 0-1 Ogre United LET1
POST-MATCH Ogre United vs Progress / AFA Olaine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ogre United cruised past Progress / AFA Olaine 8-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ogre United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 8-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ogre United and 2.00 for Progress / AFA Olaine.

What was the final score of Ogre United vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Ogre United 8-1 Progress / AFA Olaine in the Latvia - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ogre United vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ogre United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 53%, draw 28%, Progress / AFA Olaine 19%. The final score 8-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ogre United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ogre United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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