Progress / AFA Olaine 3-3 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 16 Jun 2024

Progress / AFA Olaine
3-3 HT 0-1
Ogre United
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Progress / AFA Olaine vs Ogre United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
36%
3.45
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.6pp
36%
Draw
26%
+10.2pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Progress / AFA Olaine v Ogre United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+82% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Progress / AFA Olaine vs Ogre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progress / AFA Olaine and Ogre United couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 36% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Progress / AFA Olaine vs Ogre United?

Progress / AFA Olaine 3-3 Ogre United in the Latvia - 1st Division on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progress / AFA Olaine vs Ogre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Progress / AFA Olaine win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Progress / AFA Olaine 37%, draw 36%, Ogre United 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Progress / AFA Olaine), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Progress / AFA Olaine) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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