Valmiera II 2-1 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 16 Jun 2024

Valmiera II
2-1 HT 1-0
Super Nova
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Valmiera II vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.2pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.7pp
56%
Away Win
59%
-3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valmiera II v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera II EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 62%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.46/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/0.00
-46% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Valmiera II vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera II nicked a narrow win over Super Nova 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Super Nova carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Valmiera II vs Super Nova?

Valmiera II 2-1 Super Nova in the Latvia - 1st Division on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera II vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Valmiera II 25%, draw 19%, Super Nova 56%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Super Nova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Super Nova) ✓ Over 2.5
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