FS Jelgava vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FS Jelgava v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals
FS Jelgava vs Super Nova Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
FS Jelgava
LET
2-2
HT 1-1
Super Nova
LET
2-2
HT 2-1
FS Jelgava
LET
2-0
HT 0-0
Super Nova
LET
FS Jelgava 2-1 Super Nova — Actual Match Statistics
FS Jelgava edged past Super Nova 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 34% — and on the day FS Jelgava made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, FS Jelgava had 47% of the ball to Super Nova's 53%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.86 to 1.23.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FS Jelgava had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.25 for Super Nova.
What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
FS Jelgava 2-1 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 40%, draw 25%, Super Nova 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FS Jelgava), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.