FK Tukums 2000 2-0 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
46%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
38%
-7.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
46%
Away Win
36%
+10.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.50/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.20
-32% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
18.0 Crosses 13.6
3.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Grobina
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 1.01
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
306 Passes 328
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.09.2024 Grobina Grobina 1-2 HT 1-2 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
08.07.2024 Grobina Grobina 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
16.05.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-2 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
04.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
09.10.2021 Grobina Grobina 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2-0
AWAY Grobina
2.30 xG 0.58
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
227 Passes 304
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 got the better of Grobina 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Grobina at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 44% of the ball to Grobina's 56%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.30 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FK Tukums 2000 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.00 for Grobina.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Grobina?

FK Tukums 2000 2-0 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 31%, draw 22%, Grobina 46%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grobina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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