Grobina 1-2 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 45%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.88/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.93
+69% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
246 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
18.8 Crosses 25.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
2W-0D-2L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.98 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
327 Passes 324
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2024 Grobina Grobina 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
16.05.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-2 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
04.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
09.10.2021 Grobina Grobina 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
1-2
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.11 xG 0.87
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
329 Passes 254
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Grobina vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 squeezed past Grobina 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day FK Tukums 2000 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Grobina had 56% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 44%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.11 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grobina and 1.75 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Grobina vs FK Tukums 2000?

Grobina 1-2 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Grobina 39%, draw 27%, FK Tukums 2000 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grobina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grobina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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