Grobina 2-1 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 8 Jul 2024

📅08/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
26%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.1pp
26%
Away Win
33%
-7.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 37%
+51% / +51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.63/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.69
+150% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
21.0 Crosses 20.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
1W-0D-2L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.05 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
337 Passes 297
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.05.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-2 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
04.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
09.10.2021 Grobina Grobina 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
2-1
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
0.84 xG 1.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
307 Passes 377
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grobina vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grobina edged past FK Tukums 2000 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Grobina as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Grobina had 46% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 54%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.84 to 1.49 — on chances, FK Tukums 2000 could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Tukums 2000 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Grobina and 2.00 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Grobina vs FK Tukums 2000?

Grobina 2-1 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Grobina 41%, draw 33%, FK Tukums 2000 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grobina), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Grobina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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