FK Tukums 2000 1-2 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.18
Over 2.5
42%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
42%
+16.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
58%
-16.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.15/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.9 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Grobina
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.07 xG 0.51
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
248 Passes 404
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
09.10.2021 Grobina Grobina 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1-2
AWAY Grobina
1.21 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
346 Passes 270
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grobina nicked a narrow win over FK Tukums 2000 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Grobina found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 54% of the ball to Grobina's 46%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.21 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FK Tukums 2000 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 0.00 for Grobina.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Grobina?

FK Tukums 2000 1-2 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 40%, draw 30%, Grobina 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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