Valmiera / BSS 2-3 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.46/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.19
+18% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
22.3 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valmiera / BSS
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Auda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.24
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
295 Passes 351
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.07.2024 Auda Auda 0-1 HT 0-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
15.05.2024 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 2-1 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
05.04.2024 Auda Auda 3-1 HT 2-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
24.09.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-2 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
03.07.2023 Auda Auda 0-0 HT 0-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
12.05.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-1 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valmiera / BSS
2-3
AWAY Auda
1.67 xG 2.60
37% Ball Possession 63%
17 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
250 Passes 489
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 43
18 Crosses 20
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Valmiera / BSS vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda squeezed past Valmiera / BSS 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Auda found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Valmiera / BSS had 37% of the ball to Auda's 63%, shots finished 17-23, expected goals 1.67 to 2.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valmiera / BSS and 1.17 for Auda.

What was the final score of Valmiera / BSS vs Auda?

Valmiera / BSS 2-3 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera / BSS vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Valmiera / BSS 36%, draw 26%, Auda 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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