Auda 0-1 Valmiera / BSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 6 Jul 2024

Auda
0-1 HT 0-1
Valmiera / BSS
📅06/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

Auda vs Valmiera / BSS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Auda v Valmiera / BSS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.16/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.13
-43% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / +41%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
281 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.9
11.4 Crosses 26.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Auda vs Valmiera / BSS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.20 xG 1.52
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
348 Passes 293
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.05.2024 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 2-1 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
05.04.2024 Auda Auda 3-1 HT 2-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
24.09.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-2 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
03.07.2023 Auda Auda 0-0 HT 0-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
12.05.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-1 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
02.04.2023 Auda Auda 0-4 HT 0-2 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET

Auda 0-1 Valmiera / BSS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
0-1
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
1.28 xG 1.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
404 Passes 290
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 25
27 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Auda vs Valmiera / BSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera / BSS squeezed past Auda 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Valmiera / BSS found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Auda had 58% of the ball to Valmiera / BSS's 42%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 1.28 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Auda and 1.50 for Valmiera / BSS.

What was the final score of Auda vs Valmiera / BSS?

Auda 0-1 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - Virsliga on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Valmiera / BSS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Auda 36%, draw 29%, Valmiera / BSS 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Auda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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