Valmiera / BSS 2-1 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.76/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.76
-4% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +58%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.5
28.2 Crosses 17.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valmiera / BSS
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Auda
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.39 xG 1.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
293 Passes 353
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2024 Auda Auda 3-1 HT 2-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
24.09.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-2 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
03.07.2023 Auda Auda 0-0 HT 0-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
12.05.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-1 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
02.04.2023 Auda Auda 0-4 HT 0-2 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
15.10.2022 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 2-1 HT 1-1 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valmiera / BSS
2-1
AWAY Auda
2.19 xG 1.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
291 Passes 325
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valmiera / BSS vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera / BSS squeezed past Auda 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Valmiera / BSS had 49% of the ball to Auda's 51%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 2.19 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valmiera / BSS and 1.17 for Auda.

What was the final score of Valmiera / BSS vs Auda?

Valmiera / BSS 2-1 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera / BSS vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Valmiera / BSS 44%, draw 25%, Auda 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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