FS Jelgava 1-2 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
59%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.63
Over 2.5
51%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.6pp
22%
Draw
14%
+8.1pp
59%
Away Win
76%
-17.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
34%
+14.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
66%
-14.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.3pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 81%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
0.94/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/0.71
-38% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -12%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 80%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 45.9
14.7 Crosses 27.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.57 xG 2.48
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
203 Passes 449
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 41
17 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-1 HT 4-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
24.09.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
16.07.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-3 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LETK
04.07.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 1-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
13.05.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-0 HT 2-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
01.04.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-2 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
1-2
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.33 xG 2.18
27% Ball Possession 73%
7 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 13
157 Passes 559
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Box Touches 50
8 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola nicked a narrow win over FS Jelgava 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 27% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 73%, shots finished 7-23, expected goals 0.33 to 2.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rigas Skola's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for FS Jelgava and 2.67 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola?

FS Jelgava 1-2 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 19%, draw 22%, Rigas Skola 59%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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