Kauno Zalgiris II 1-0 Lietava Jonava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
29%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
38%
-9.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+31% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lietava Jonava
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target
8 Corners 2
29.07.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 0-0 HT 0-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
1-0
AWAY Lietava Jonava
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Lietava Jonava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II squeezed past Lietava Jonava 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kauno Zalgiris II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 50% of the ball to Lietava Jonava's 50%, shots finished 5-11.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Lietava Jonava?

Kauno Zalgiris II 1-0 Lietava Jonava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Lietava Jonava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 41%, draw 30%, Lietava Jonava 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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