Minija 2-1 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 55%
+13% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.99/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.94
-26% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
316 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 497 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Nevezis
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.09.2024 Minija Minija 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
11.05.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 1-1 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
04.08.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 2-1 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
18.03.2023 Minija Minija 1-2 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
20.08.2022 Minija Minija 0-1 HT 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minija
2-1
AWAY Nevezis
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Minija vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija nicked a narrow win over Nevezis 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nevezis at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Minija had 57% of the ball to Nevezis's 43%, shots finished 17-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nevezis led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Minija and 1.20 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of Minija vs Nevezis?

Minija 2-1 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Minija 29%, draw 25%, Nevezis 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nevezis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nevezis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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