Minija 0-0 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
22%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 48%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.10/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.33
-19% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Nevezis
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.05.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 1-1 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
04.08.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 2-1 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
18.03.2023 Minija Minija 1-2 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
20.08.2022 Minija Minija 0-1 HT 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
POST-MATCH Minija vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija and Nevezis played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nevezis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Minija and 1.50 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of Minija vs Nevezis?

Minija 0-0 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Minija 36%, draw 24%, Nevezis 40%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nevezis) ✗ Over 2.5
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