Babrungas 3-0 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babrungas EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.88/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/2.41
+23% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
267 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babrungas
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.05.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 0-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
07.10.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 5-0 HT 5-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
19.05.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 2-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
05.11.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 1-3 HT 1-2 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
01.07.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-0 HT 1-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
23.06.2021 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-1 HT 1-1 Babrungas Babrungas LITK
POST-MATCH Babrungas vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas ran out comfortable winners over Neptüna Klaipeda 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Babrungas and 2.17 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of Babrungas vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Babrungas 3-0 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babrungas vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Babrungas 46%, draw 22%, Neptüna Klaipeda 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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