Kauno Zalgiris II 1-1 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

Kauno Zalgiris II
1-1
Atmosfera
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Kauno Zalgiris II vs Atmosfera Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-7.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.5pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.9pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kauno Zalgiris II v Atmosfera — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.94/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.29/1.62
+33% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +126% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II and Atmosfera couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Atmosfera?

Kauno Zalgiris II 1-1 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 29%, draw 31%, Atmosfera 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atmosfera), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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