Garliava 2-2 Be1 NFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
20%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.5pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-10.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Garliava EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 62%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -12%
1.03/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.69
+3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +47%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Garliava
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Be1 NFA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-1 HT 1-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
12.08.2023 Garliava Garliava 0-3 HT 0-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
26.03.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 1-1 HT 0-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
13.08.2022 Garliava Garliava 2-1 HT 1-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Garliava
2-2
AWAY Be1 NFA
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Garliava vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Garliava and Be1 NFA couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Be1 NFA at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Garliava had 47% of the ball to Be1 NFA's 53%, shots finished 7-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Garliava and 1.75 for Be1 NFA.

What was the final score of Garliava vs Be1 NFA?

Garliava 2-2 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Garliava vs Be1 NFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Garliava 23%, draw 28%, Be1 NFA 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Be1 NFA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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