Be1 NFA 2-1 Garliava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
69%
-9.7pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.8pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.4pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Garliava EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.91/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.70
-9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Be1 NFA
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Garliava
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Garliava Garliava 0-3 HT 0-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
26.03.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 1-1 HT 0-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
13.08.2022 Garliava Garliava 2-1 HT 1-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Be1 NFA
2-1
AWAY Garliava
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Be1 NFA vs Garliava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Be1 NFA edged past Garliava 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Be1 NFA as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Be1 NFA had 64% of the ball to Garliava's 36%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Be1 NFA and 1.00 for Garliava.

What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs Garliava?

Be1 NFA 2-1 Garliava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs Garliava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 59%, draw 27%, Garliava 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Be1 NFA) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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