FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 34%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
1.63/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
284 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
1W-0D-0L
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.03.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-2 HT 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Dainava Alytus squeezed past TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and on the day FK Dainava Alytus made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Dainava Alytus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 40%, draw 27%, TransINVEST Vilnius 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Dainava Alytus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Dainava Alytus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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