TransINVEST Vilnius 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.16/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.02
-27% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +60%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
0-2
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Dainava Alytus beat TransINVEST Vilnius 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was TransINVEST Vilnius at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 68% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 32%, shots finished 18-11.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Dainava Alytus?

TransINVEST Vilnius 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 49%, draw 27%, FK Dainava Alytus 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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