FA Siauliai 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.7pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.7pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 37%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -16%
1.17/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.38
-20% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITK
03.09.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
02.07.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-2 HT 2-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
29.04.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
10.03.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
23.10.2022 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
2-1
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai edged past Kauno Zalgiris 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 36% — and on the day FA Siauliai made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 63% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 37%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.00 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

FA Siauliai 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 32%, draw 33%, Kauno Zalgiris 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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