17/03/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Ekranas vs Tauras Taurage Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
27%
Draw
26%
39%
Away Win
28%
46%
Under 2.5
44%
54%
Over 2.5
56%
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
42%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ekranas v Tauras Taurage — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ekranas
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tauras Taurage
EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-35%
/
-29%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
6
287 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
308 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.6
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ekranas vs Tauras Taurage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ekranas and Tauras Taurage couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Ekranas vs Tauras Taurage?
Ekranas 2-2 Tauras Taurage in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ekranas vs Tauras Taurage?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ekranas 35%, draw 27%, Tauras Taurage 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tauras Taurage) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Tauras Taurage)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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