Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Zalgiris Vilnius v Hegelmann Litauen — Team-Based Signals
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Zalgiris Vilnius 1-3 Hegelmann Litauen — Actual Match Statistics
Hegelmann Litauen had too much for Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 on the road. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zalgiris Vilnius at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 50%.
On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 54% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 46%, shots finished 6-17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.83 for Hegelmann Litauen.
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen Result & Final Score
Zalgiris Vilnius 1 - 3 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - A Lyga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 56%, draw 26%, Hegelmann Litauen 18%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.