Nevezis 1-1 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.8pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 25%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.02/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.22
+25% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
402 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Minija
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 2-1 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
18.03.2023 Minija Minija 1-2 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
20.08.2022 Minija Minija 0-1 HT 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis and Minija couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nevezis at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nevezis had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nevezis and 0.67 for Minija.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Minija?

Nevezis 1-1 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 41%, draw 31%, Minija 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nevezis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nevezis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
11 May 2024
13:00 Be1 NFA vs Garliava Analysis →
15:00 FK Riteriai vs Ekranas Analysis →
15:00 FK Dainava Alytus vs TransINVEST Vilnius Analysis →
17:00 Suduva vs Dziugas Telsiai Analysis →
19:00 Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys Analysis →