Suduva 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.4pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+9.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.01/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.96
-31% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +58%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
07.10.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
15.08.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITK
29.07.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-1 HT 1-1 Suduva Suduva LITA
26.05.2023 Suduva Suduva 1-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
09.04.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-2 Suduva Suduva LIT1
POST-MATCH Suduva vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai nicked a narrow win over Suduva 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Dziugas Telsiai found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suduva had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Suduva and 0.33 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of Suduva vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Suduva 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suduva win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Suduva 37%, draw 30%, Dziugas Telsiai 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Suduva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suduva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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