Banga Gargzdai 2-0 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+2.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.2pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 51%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.79/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.58
-29% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
27.08.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
25.06.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
24.04.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
05.03.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-4 HT 0-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
09.10.2022 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai saw off FK Panevezys 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FK Panevezys at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.67 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys?

Banga Gargzdai 2-0 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 24%, draw 26%, FK Panevezys 49%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Panevezys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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