FK Panevezys 0-1 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+9.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.1pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 16%
-14% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.45/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.97
-21% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
25.06.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
24.04.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
05.03.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-4 HT 0-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
09.10.2022 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
21.08.2022 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-1 HT 2-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai squeezed past FK Panevezys 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. FK Panevezys carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FK Panevezys and 0.33 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai?

FK Panevezys 0-1 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 56%, draw 22%, Banga Gargzdai 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Panevezys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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