Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 46%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.29/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.02
+80% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Babrungas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
14.04.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 1-0 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
1-2
AWAY Babrungas
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas squeezed past Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Babrungas made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 45% of the ball to Babrungas's 55%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Babrungas led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 1.00 for Babrungas.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Babrungas?

Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 38%, draw 27%, Babrungas 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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