FK Riteriai 3-1 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 40%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.27/3.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.67
+80% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Riteriai
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
30.06.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
29.04.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 3-1 HT 0-1 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
12.03.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-4 HT 0-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
13.11.2022 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
07.09.2022 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Riteriai
3-1
AWAY FK Panevezys
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Riteriai vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Riteriai beat FK Panevezys 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Riteriai as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Riteriai had 51% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 49%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Riteriai and 1.83 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of FK Riteriai vs FK Panevezys?

FK Riteriai 3-1 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Riteriai vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Riteriai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Riteriai 41%, draw 25%, FK Panevezys 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Riteriai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Riteriai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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