Banga Gargzdai 1-2 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.37/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/2.43
+6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -52%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FA Siauliai
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 4-1 HT 3-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
23.06.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
28.04.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
10.03.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
12.11.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-0 HT 2-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
19.08.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1-2
AWAY FA Siauliai
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai squeezed past Banga Gargzdai 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 36% — and on the day FA Siauliai made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 47% of the ball to FA Siauliai's 53%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.00 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai?

Banga Gargzdai 1-2 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 37%, draw 28%, FA Siauliai 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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