Banga Gargzdai 4-1 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.48/0.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.41
-66% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -63%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
0W-4D-2L
AWAY FA Siauliai
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
28.04.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
10.03.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
12.11.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-0 HT 2-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
19.08.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
10.06.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai ran out comfortable winners over FA Siauliai 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Banga Gargzdai as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.00 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai?

Banga Gargzdai 4-1 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 41%, draw 27%, FA Siauliai 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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