Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 36%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
2.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.81/1.42
+71% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +121% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
230 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 4-1 HT 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
28.04.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
09.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
12.11.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-4 HT 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
12.11.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 4-2 HT 2-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
29.10.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 4-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
1-1
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen and Kauno Zalgiris couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 56% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 44%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 3.00 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 38%, draw 27%, Kauno Zalgiris 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ BTTS Yes
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