Banga Gargzdai 0-1 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 52%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.79/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/0.66
-29% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +33%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FA Siauliai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
12.11.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-0 HT 2-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
19.08.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
10.06.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
18.04.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
23.11.2022 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-3 HT 1-3 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai squeezed past Banga Gargzdai 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FA Siauliai as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.50 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai?

Banga Gargzdai 0-1 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated an FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 26%, draw 28%, FA Siauliai 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FA Siauliai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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