Suduva 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
54%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
54%
Away Win
63%
-8.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.7pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 67%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
0.86/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.71
-19% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +51%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
220 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-3 HT 2-1 Suduva Suduva LIT1
30.09.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-2 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
21.07.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
20.05.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-1 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
01.04.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
06.11.2022 Suduva Suduva 1-2 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH Suduva vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suduva and Zalgiris Vilnius couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris Vilnius at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Suduva and 2.67 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of Suduva vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Suduva 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Suduva 20%, draw 26%, Zalgiris Vilnius 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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