Koper 3-1 Radomlje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 26% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomlje EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +3%
1.68/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.15
-1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Radomlje
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2025 Radomlje Radomlje 1-2 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVN
29.09.2024 Koper Koper 1-0 HT 0-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
20.07.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 0-1 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVN
06.04.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVN
10.02.2024 Koper Koper 0-1 HT 0-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
01.10.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
3-1
AWAY Radomlje
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Koper vs Radomlje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper saw off Radomlje 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Koper as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Koper had 45% of the ball to Radomlje's 55%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Koper had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Koper and 0.67 for Radomlje.

What was the final score of Koper vs Radomlje?

Koper 3-1 Radomlje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Radomlje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Koper 46%, draw 27%, Radomlje 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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5 Apr 2025
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