Prachuap 2-1 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.91
Over 2.5
38%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.2pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.8pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.2pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prachuap EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.22/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.28
+9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
18.1 Crosses 12.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prachuap
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.97 xG 1.32
48% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
257 Passes 273
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 0-0 HT 0-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
05.05.2024 Prachuap Prachuap 2-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
11.03.2023 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 0-0 HT 0-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
16.10.2022 Prachuap Prachuap 1-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Prachuap
2-1
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
0.98 xG 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 11
246 Passes 241
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Prachuap vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prachuap squeezed past Lamphun Warrior 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Prachuap as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Prachuap had 48% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 52%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.98 to 1.50 — on chances, Lamphun Warrior could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Prachuap had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Prachuap and 0.00 for Lamphun Warrior.

What was the final score of Prachuap vs Lamphun Warrior?

Prachuap 2-1 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prachuap vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Prachuap win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Prachuap 43%, draw 33%, Lamphun Warrior 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Prachuap) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Prachuap) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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