Thai Port FC 1-1 Uthai Thani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Uthai Thani EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.01/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.10
+21% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
24.3 Crosses 12.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thai Port FC
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Uthai Thani
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.77 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 Passes 319
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani 1-1 HT 0-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
09.03.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 3-3 HT 1-1 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thai Port FC
1-1
AWAY Uthai Thani
1.12 xG 1.14
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
347 Passes 235
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 11
43 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Thai Port FC vs Uthai Thani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC and Uthai Thani shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Thai Port FC at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Thai Port FC had 59% of the ball to Uthai Thani's 41%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.12 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Thai Port FC and 2.00 for Uthai Thani.

What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Uthai Thani?

Thai Port FC 1-1 Uthai Thani in the Thailand - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Uthai Thani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 55%, draw 24%, Uthai Thani 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thai Port FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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