Pamba 1-0 Tabora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
18%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
49%
-11.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+11.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.2pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pamba EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tabora EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.00/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.91
-11% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
290 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pamba
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tabora
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.10.2024 Tabora 1-0 Pamba Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Pamba vs Tabora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pamba squeezed past Tabora 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Pamba made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Pamba vs Tabora?

Pamba 1-0 Tabora in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pamba vs Tabora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pamba win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pamba 37%, draw 30%, Tabora 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pamba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pamba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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