Oakland Roots 0-3 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 5 Apr 2025

Oakland Roots
0-3 HT 0-3
Rhode Island
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USL Championship – 2025

Oakland Roots vs Rhode Island Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.56
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 24% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-6.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oakland Roots v Rhode Island — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 56%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.27/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.09
-30% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.5 Crosses 14.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 5.0

Oakland Roots vs Rhode Island Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakland Roots
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rhode Island
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.60 xG 1.95
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 14
197 Passes 341
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 41
10 Crosses 42
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.08.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 1-1 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP

Oakland Roots 0-3 Rhode Island — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oakland Roots
0-3
AWAY Rhode Island
0.30 xG 1.95
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 2
363 Passes 258
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oakland Roots vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island ran out comfortable winners over Oakland Roots 3-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rhode Island as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Oakland Roots had 56% of the ball to Rhode Island's 44%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.30 to 1.95.

What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs Rhode Island?

Oakland Roots 0-3 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 25%, draw 29%, Rhode Island 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✗ Under 2.5
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