Loudoun United 2-0 Hartford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 27%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.64/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.70
+16% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
15.5 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Hartford Athletic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.39 xG 1.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
397 Passes 320
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
04.07.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 3-0 HT 2-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
04.07.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 2-1 HT 1-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
21.05.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
22.09.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 3-0 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
08.05.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loudoun United
2-0
AWAY Hartford Athletic
0.70 xG 0.99
68% Ball Possession 32%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
541 Passes 212
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs Hartford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loudoun United got the better of Hartford Athletic 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Loudoun United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Loudoun United had 68% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 32%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.70 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loudoun United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Loudoun United and 0.67 for Hartford Athletic.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Hartford Athletic?

Loudoun United 2-0 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Hartford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 46%, draw 26%, Hartford Athletic 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Loudoun United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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