Hartford Athletic 0-2 Loudoun United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.59/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/6.27
-19% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -53%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
17.7 Crosses 17.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartford Athletic
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Loudoun United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.29
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
295 Passes 388
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 3-0 HT 2-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
04.07.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 2-1 HT 1-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
21.05.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
22.09.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 3-0 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
08.05.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
17.10.2021 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartford Athletic
0-2
AWAY Loudoun United
0.82 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
362 Passes 431
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hartford Athletic vs Loudoun United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loudoun United got the better of Hartford Athletic 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hartford Athletic at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hartford Athletic had 48% of the ball to Loudoun United's 52%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.82 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hartford Athletic and 1.33 for Loudoun United.

What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Loudoun United?

Hartford Athletic 0-2 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Loudoun United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 41%, draw 23%, Loudoun United 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hartford Athletic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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