Rhode Island 3-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 6 Oct 2024

Rhode Island
3-1 HT 1-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 28% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.7pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rhode Island v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.81/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.25
+37% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
27.5 Crosses 15.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rhode Island
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.40 xG 1.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
266 Passes 223
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-1 HT 0-1 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP

Rhode Island 3-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
3-1
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.93 xG 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
265 Passes 376
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
39 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island got the better of Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rhode Island as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rhode Island had 43% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 57%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.93 to 1.00.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Rhode Island 3-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 42%, draw 22%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✗ BTTS No
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