San Antonio 2-1 Sacramento Republic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
28%
+10.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
44%
-11.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
0.87/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.10
+1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +88%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
13.5 Crosses 16.3
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sacramento Republic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.67 xG 1.12
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
202 Passes 279
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 1-0 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
28.10.2023 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 3-1 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
25.06.2023 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 3-1 HT 2-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
09.04.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 0-0 HT 0-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
25.09.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 1-0 HT 1-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
05.06.2022 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 1-0 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio
2-1
AWAY Sacramento Republic
1.81 xG 0.65
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
258 Passes 315
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio edged past Sacramento Republic 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day San Antonio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Antonio had 45% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 55%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.81 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for San Antonio and 1.33 for Sacramento Republic.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?

San Antonio 2-1 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 37%, draw 30%, Sacramento Republic 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Antonio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Antonio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
6 Oct 2024
02:00 Hartford Athletic vs Loudoun United Analysis →
02:00 Miami FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Analysis →
02:00 Indy Eleven vs Louisville City Analysis →
02:30 Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Analysis →
03:00 Memphis 901 vs Oakland Roots Analysis →
03:30 FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive Analysis →