Miami FC 0-4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.78
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.3
2-3 Goals
48%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+4.8pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.0pp
62%
Away Win
71%
-8.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 75%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.98/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.73
-23% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +81%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
217 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 84%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
15.5 Crosses 18.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.76 xG 1.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
362 Passes 324
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 HT 1-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
17.09.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
25.03.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
10.07.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 4-1 HT 1-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
29.05.2022 Miami FC Miami FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
28.10.2021 Miami FC Miami FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
0-4
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.18 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
408 Passes 449
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 23
6 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds swept aside Miami FC 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Miami FC had 48% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 52%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.18 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Miami FC and 1.83 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Miami FC 0-4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 15%, draw 23%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 62%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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